接下来小编会陆续为大家呈现GMAT作文Argument官网题库145篇题目分析，希望对大家的GMAT作文备考有帮助。
141. The following appeared in a memorandum from the vice president of Gigantis, a development company that builds and leases retail store facilities:
"Nationwide over the past five years, sales have increased significantly at outlet stores that deal exclusively in reduced-price merchandise. Therefore, we should publicize the new mall that we are building at Pleasantville as a central location for outlet shopping and rent store space only to outlet companies. By taking advantage of the success of outlet stores, this plan should help ensure full occupancy of the mall and enable us to recover quickly the costs of building the mall."
Discuss how well reasoned ... etc.
翻译： 过去5年中全国范围内，专门经营低价商品的直销店的销售增长显著。因此，我们应该把我们正在建造的新购物中心宣传为直销店购物的中心地点，并把铺面只租给直销公司。通过利用直销店的成功，这个计划将帮助确保购物中心的占用率并很快使我们收回建筑购物中心的成本。
分析：1.错误类比，全国的情况未必能真实地反映当地的情况。因为全国直销店的情况是一个全国的平均，而未必就是当地直销店的现状。如果当地很穷，那么消费的情况可能也很惨淡，因此直销店的利润也未必会上升。2.无因果联系，即使当地的直销店利润也在上升，这也未必说明他们的收入未必会持续上升。因为他们的利润在时间轴上是一个变量，因此在未来可能因为外界条件的变化而使他们的利润有所下滑。比如随着网络直销的兴起，实体店的收入可能会出现大规模下跌。3.结论无据，即使直销店的利润上升会持续很久，这也未必说明这家购物中心也获得很高的利润。因为购物中心之间有诸多不同，这些不同可能使得顾客对这家直销购物中心没有兴趣。比如这家购物中心处在地价昂贵的市中心，远离住宅区，物价又非常昂贵，很难吸引消费者。4.样本不足，即使建立直销中心可以实现盈利，这一建议也未必是合理的。因为首先，这一措施可能会带来周边地区的停车紧张和治安混乱，而这未必是可以接受的;而其次，这一建议也未必是最佳的，可能有其他更好的方法来加快资金回收速率， 比如进行大规模的降价促销，等等。
范文：
The conclusion that the landlord will be able to achieve full occupancy of the new mall and a quick breakeven of building costs by renting only to outlet stores lacks evidence and is unsubstantiated. The author attempts to use outlet stores' significantly increased sales in general as evidence to support the proposal, while ignoring several important factors that may undermine the plan.
To start with, the author's claim that outlet stores have achieved success in the past five years is questionable. Although sales from outlet stores have increased significantly in the past, there is no evidence that suggests profitability has been moving at the same direction, as the argument does not mention whether there has been any change to the expenses from operating an outlet store. In other words, the author confuses increased sales with higher profitability, which would have been a strong piece of evidence to support the conclusion.
Secondly, the argument only focuses on outlet stores and fails to examine other types of businesses that may be suitable tenets as well. Even if outlet stores did achieve excellent profitability in the past five years, making them desirable tenets, there is no evidence to suggest that such success can be sustained, and there may be other types of stores that have done well. As all businesses are subject to the impact of changing economic conditions, if the mall is fully occupied by a single type of business, in this case outlets, the negative impact on occupancy will be augmented if the economic condition becomes especially unfavorable to outlet stores. Therefore the proposal to rent only to outlets instead of to a diverse range of business tenets increases the economic risk for the landlord and undermines the objective to achieve full occupancy in the long run.
In general, the conclusion that a quick recovery of building costs and a fully rented mall can be achieved by renting exclusively to outlet stores is not supported by enough evidence, and the plan itself is ill-advised and increases the risk of rent income under difficult economic conditions.
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