2016年6月5号GRE argument 点睛预测机经，主要针对2016年6月5号的考试，为考生带来了两篇高频题目，同时提供提纲以及范文，希望对迎战的考生有所帮助。2016年6月5号GRE issue 点睛预测机经。
预测1：
The following memorandum is from the business manager of Happy PancakeHouse restaurants.
"Recently, butter has been replaced by margarine in Happy Pancake Houserestaurants throughout the southwestern United States. This change, however, has had little impact on our customers. In fact, only about 2 percent of customers have complained, indicating that an average of 98 people out of 100 are happywith the change. Furthermore, many servers have reported that a number of customers who ask for butter do not complain when they are given margarine instead. Clearly, either these customers do not distinguish butter from margarine or they use the term 'butter' to refer to either butter or margarine."
Write a response in which you discuss what specific evidence is needed to evaluate the argument and explain how the evidence would weaken or strengthen the argument.
提纲分析1：
本题主要论证点集中在对“98%的顾客对于替换行为满意”以及“顾客不投诉或者是没有鉴别能力，或者是用词含混”这两条假设的其他解释上面。顾客不投诉有很多其他可能性，应推测一下顾客不去投诉的其他合理解释。
Fallacies论证中的不足：
1. False dilemma (极端选择).Some customers might be unhappy but didn’t complain.
2. Vague data (数据模糊). The author fails to point out the actual number of server who reported, and what percentage of the whole server group do they make up. Also, the author does not tell us the percentage of customers who do not complain, thus the conclusion that the change had little impact is unfounded.
3. False dilemma (极端选择).The fact that few customers complain when they are given margarine might be explained by other factors, e.g., they may prefer the lower price of margarine, or they have no time or disdain to argue with the restaurant.
提纲分析2：
1.为了确定文中的提议是否能达到预测的结果，第一个需要回答的问题是只有2%的顾客抱怨是不是表明其他人都没有不满?
2.为了确定文中的提议是否能达到预测的结果，第二个需要回答的问题是服务人员有没有真实地告诉顾客的抱怨情况?
3.为了确定文中的提议是否能达到预测的结果，第三个需要回答的问题是西南部的消费者是不是能够代表东北部和东南的消费者?
4.为了确定文中的提议是否能达到预测的结果，第四个需要回答的问题是有没有影响利润的其他不利影响因素存在。
预测2 ：
The president of Grove College has recommended that the college abandon its century-old tradition of all-female education and begin admitting men. Pointing to other all-female colleges that experienced an increase in applications after adopting coeducation, the president argues that coeducation would lead to a significant increase in applications and enrollment. However, the director of the alumnae association opposes the plan. Arguing that all-female education is essential to the very identity of the college, the director cites annual surveys of incoming students in which these students say that the school's all-female status was the primary reason they selected Grove. The director also points to a survey of Grove alumnae in which a majority of respondents strongly favored keeping the college all female.
Write a response in which you discuss what questions would need to be answered in order to decide whether the recommendation and the argument on which it is based are reasonable. Be sure to explain how the answers to these questions would help to evaluate the recommendation.
提纲分析1：
院长的观点是应该废除女校传统，开始录取男生。因为其他女校采取男女同校政策后申请数量上升。然而校友会主任反对该计划。主任认为女校教育是学院的基本特点;并且，对于刚入学的学生所做的调查表明，学校的女校形式是他们选择Grove的主要原因;另，一次对Grove校友的调查表明大多数回应者强烈支持学院保持女校形式。
Fallacies论证中的不足：
1. 因果关系问题。其他女校申请数量上升是因为采取男女同校政策吗?
2. 错误类比。即使其他女校申请数量上升是因为采取男女同校政策，但这一定适用于Grove College吗?
3. 信息不完整。对于Grove College来说，是申请数量重要还是女校的特征重要?
4. 选择性样本问题。接受调查的新生具有代表性吗?二年级学生的看法呢?
5. 回应者是否具有代表性。接受调查的学生和校友是否都是些更倾向于支持女校的学生和校友?
6. 考虑问题不全面。男女同校政策能否吸引到其他学生?
7. 未全面衡量优缺点。男女同校的优点是什么?
提纲分析2：
1.为了评估提供和论证过程，我们需要讨论的第一个问题是其他女学校学生增加的根本的原因是因为考试接纳男学生。有可能...
2.为了评估提供和论证过程，我们需要讨论的第二个问题是有没有其他不利因素会导致学生不会增加因素存在?
3.为了评估提供和论证过程，我们需要讨论的另外一个问题是女学生的原则是不是很多学生选择该校的一大标准呢?
4.为了评估提供和论证过程，我们需要讨论的其中一个问题是女校友的调查是否可靠的呢?
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